Sunday, July 24, 2011

Harga Emas Melambung Naik Lagi ke USD 1613

Harga emas naik lagi. Kali ni ke tahap USD 1613.8 seounce. Menurut penganalisis kenaikan ini disebabkan kebimbangan pelabur berkenaan masalah hutang US yang semakin serius dan tiada menunjukkan tanda-tanda pemulihan.





Kenaikan tahunan amat tinggi iaitu sebanyak 35.66 % atau USD 424. Ini bermakna harga emas kini adalah USD 424 lebih mahal daripada harga emas satu tahun yang lepas.


Bagi mereka yang ingin menjual emas, inilah masa yang paling sesuai. Tapi kalau masih ada cash di tangan, teruslah menyimpan. Harga tetap akan naik, insya Allah.

Gold hits fresh record as U.S. debt talks grind on

SYDNEY(MarketWatch) — Gold futures hit a fresh record in electronic trading Monday, as U.S. debt-ceiling talks to avert a default continued, with no apparent progress toward a deal.

Gold for August delivery /quotes/zigman/700181 GC1Q +0.81%  gained $16.30, or 1.0% to $1,617.70 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange during Asian trading hours.
Last week gold reached a nominal record of $1,602.50 an ounce.

Adjusted for inflation, gold would have to settle at around $2,400 an ounce to supplant a record around $850 an ounce reached in January 1980.

The metal has benefitted from the uncertainty stemming from global debt problems in recent weeks, with the deadlock in U.S.negotiations taking center stage on Monday.

Monday, July 18, 2011

Harga Emas dan Perak Catat Rekod Tertinggi

Harga emas dan perak catat rekod tertinggi hari ini melebihi tahap psikologi USD 1600 untuk emas dan USD 40 seounce untuk perak. Pelabur mengaitkan kenaikan drastik ini disebabkan oleh krisis hutang di Eropah dan Amerika Syarikat. Boleh kita bayangkan, negara Amerika pun ada masalah hutang ? Manakala negara Eropah seperti Greece dan mungkin selepas ni Italy pula, tidak dapat lari dari masalah berkenaan. Jawapannya kerana duit yang mereka gunakan sebenarnya tidak mempunyai nilai pada dirinya sendiri. Ia disandarkan kepada US dollar yang juga tidak stabil dan bebas dimanipulasi oleh Kerajaan Amerika Syarikat. Manakala emas dan perak pula bebas dari sebarang bentuk manipulasi dan pengurangan nila kerana ia mempunyai nilainya yang tesendiri.

Bagi yang membeli emas Public Gold pada awal tahun ini, sudah boleh jana keuntungan beratus-ratus ringgit untuk setiap jongkong 20g. Harga pada awal tahun ni pernah jadi RM 2900. Kini sudah menjadi RM 3447 !!

Kenaikan emas tahunan semasa juga agak tinggi iaitu sebanyak 34.52 % atau sebanyak USD 411.80 setahun !! Kenaikan bulan juga amat drastik iaitu 64.80 %.


Jadi, mari kita tambah koleksi kita jika ada duit lebih dalam simpanan.


Comex Gold Hits a New High Above $1,600.00, Silver Above $40.00, on Safe-Haven Demand

(Kitco News) - Comex gold and silver futures prices closed solidly higher Monday on more safe-haven investment demand amid the debt crises playing out in Europe and the U.S. The debt problems on both sides of the ocean have rattled most of the world's currency and stock markets. Gold is now viewed by even more investors as a currency and/or the safest asset in a very risky world market place. August gold last traded up $12.30 at $1,602.40 an ounce. Spot gold last traded up $8.10 an ounce at $1,602.75.
December Comex silver last traded up $1.159 at $40.25 an ounce.

There is still trader and investor nervousness on the European Union sovereign debt front and on the U.S. debt-ceiling debate. Despite efforts on both sides of the Atlantic to resolve or control those situations, the market place on Monday was still viewing the matters with anxiety. European banks' stress test results on Friday were about as expected but have failed to assuage traders and investors. EU leaders are scheduled to hold a summit on Thursday, regarding the matter. And the U.S. congress and the President Obama are still at loggerheads over raising the U.S. debt ceiling that will be hit in early August. The wrangling has invited still more buying demand for the precious metals markets.
The U.S. dollar index traded higher morning, on short covering and some safe-haven buying interest on the idea that the U.S. currency is the lesser of evils in the currency markets. Recent price action in the dollar index suggests the index will trade choppy and trendless in the near term. Any further weakening of the dollar index would be a bullish development for the precious metals.

Crude oil prices traded solidly lower Monday. There are presently fears a world economic slowdown is in progress amid the EU debt crisis, which have been a bearish weight on the crude oil market recently. Recent choppy and sideways price action in the crude oil market suggests more of the same in the near term.

The London P.M. gold fixing was $1,599.00 versus the previous P.M. fixing of $1,587.00.
Technically, August Comex gold futures prices closed nearer the session high Monday. Gold bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. There are still no early clues to suggest a market top is close at hand and the path of least resistance for prices remains sideways to higher for gold. Bulls' next near-term upside technical objective is to produce a close above psychological resistance at $1,625.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is closing prices below solid technical support at the June high of $1,559.30. First resistance is seen at Monday's record high of $1,607.90 and then at $1,615.00. First support is seen at Monday's low of $1,591.40 and then at $1,590.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.5.

December silver futures prices closed near mid-range and hit a fresh 2.5-month high Monday. The silver bulls have the solid overall technical advantage and gained more power Monday by pushing prices above what was strong psychological resistance at $40.00. Bulls' next upside price objective is producing a close above solid technical resistance at $42.50 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at $38.00. First resistance is seen at Monday's high of $40.75 and then at $41.00. Next support is seen at $40.00 and then at $39.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

December N.Y. copper closed down 90 points 442.30 cents Monday. Prices closed near mid-range and did hit a fresh three-month high early on. Gains were limited by bearish "outside markets" that included a stronger U.S. dollar index and lower crude oil prices. The copper bulls still have the solid overall near-term technical advantage, but bulls are worried about the world's economies slowing down. Copper bulls' next upside breakout objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 450.00 cents. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 425.00 cents. First resistance is seen at 445.00 cents and then at Monday's high of 446.75 cents. First support is seen at 440.00 cents and then at 437.50 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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By Jim Wyckoff of Kitco News; mailto:jwyckoff@kitco.com

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Emas Naik Kembali

Akhirnya setelah sekian lama menyepi, harga emas naik kembali. Sila lihat Jadual Kitco di bawah.


Saya suka melihat prestasi emas berdasarkan kenaikan harian, bulanan dan tahunan. Berdasarkan jadual di atas, semua kenaikan tersebut adalah positif berbanding beberapa minggu lalu, kenaikan bulanan sentiasa negatif. Kenaikan tahunan juga menyamai kenaikan purata iaitu sekitar 27 %. Ini petanda baik.

Kenaikan kali ini menurut penganalisis disebabkan hutang negara-negara Euro dan data ekonomi US yang tidak memberangsangkan.

Kesimpulannya, sesuai menjual emas pada waktu ini dan kalau nak beli emas mungkin boleh tunggu petanda-petanda baru selepas ini.