Emas Dijangka Naik Hingga USD 1500 / USD 1600

Emas dan perak catat sejarah lagi sekali dengan harga tertinggi setakat ini. Harga terkini emas ialah USD 1486 manakala harga terkini perak ialah USD 43.05.

Saya baru lepas mendengar Kitco News. Menurut penganalasis yang ditemuramah emas mungkin akan naik sehingga USD 1500 atau USD 1600 pada hujung bulan April, Mei atau bulan-bulan berikutnya kerana setakat ini ia kelihatan tertinggal di belakang kenaikan pantas nilai perak. Ini jangkaan beliau. Mungkin berlaku mungkin tidak. Kenaikan kali ini dikatakan disebabkan kadar inflasi yang buruk di seluruh dunia.

Menurut beliau juga, oleh kerana perak naik begitu drastik akhir-akhir ini, harganya dijangka akan statik untuk beberapa ketika selepas ini. Ini kerana kenaikan baru-baru ini melebihi purata kenaikan bulanan perak.

Saya ada dapat tempahan dari rakan-rakan mengatakan jika harga emas PG 20g turun ke RM 3100, mereka mahu lock. Apa yang saya boleh katakan ia boleh berlaku, tapi agak sukar. Harga emas terkini ialah RM 3310.

Ada takde boleh cuba tengok di Facebook PG mana tahu ada orang nak jual dengan harga lebih murah daripada harga pasaran. Harga perak semasa pula seperti berikut :-

Saya ingat lagi pada bulan Januari 2011, harga perak 500g hanya sekitar RM 1900. Sekarang sudah RM 2793 !!! Naik kira-kira 47% dalam masa 4 bulan.

Mari kita cuba analisis prestasi kenaikan emas tahunan seperti di bawah :-

Kenaikan tahunan ialah sebanyak 28.27 % manakala purata kenaikan bulanan agak baik iaitu 6.06 %. Sama-sama kita pantau prestasi kenaikan emas melalui Jadual di atas yang ada di laman http://www.kitco.com/. Di bawah ini adalah artikel kitco tentang prestasi emas semasa.

Inflation Worries Adding Further Fuel To Gold's Rally To Record Highs

15 April 2011, 12:32 p.m.
By Allen Sykora
Of Kitco News

(Kitco News) - Inflation worries remain a theme among gold traders, and this has been reinforced by some of the data this week in the U.S. and elsewhere, analysts said.

“I think inflation is a concern,” said Frank Lesh, broker and futures analyst with FuturePath Trading. “I think it’s one of the reasons we have been buying gold.”

Gold hit record Fresh highs and silver hit a 31-year peak Friday. As of roughly noon EDT, June gold had been as high as $1,480.50 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, while May silver had been as muscular as $42.825.

Analysts have cited a number of factors beyond ongoing strength, such as continuing European sovereign-debt issues, a weak U.S. dollar, unrest in the Middle East-North Africa region and concerns about U.S. budget deficits and a looming showdown between Republicans and Democrats over further spending.

Add inflation to that mix. A sharp increase in producer prices has many worried that the Federal Reserve’s current accommodative monetary policies will spark even greater increases in both consumer and producer prices later in the year, said Mike Zarembski, senior commodities analyst with optionsXpress.

“Gold has historically been seen as a store of value, and concerns about rising inflation -- especially with the U.S. dollar being as weak as it has been -- can only help to give added support to the gold market,” he said.

During the latter part of the week, the U.S. reported that the overall Producer Price Index rose 0.7% in March and the Consumer Price Index climbed 0.5%. Consumer prices have climbed 2.7% in the last 12 months, the largest such annualized increase since December 2009. Back in November, this rate had been around 1.1%.