Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Emas Naik Tinggi USD 1431 dan Perak Tertinggi Sejak 31 Tahun

Seperti dijangka harga emas naik mendadak dan hampir mencecah rekod tertinggi pada bulan Disember 2010 iaitu USD 1434.10. Maknanya mereka yang beli emas pada bulan Januari lalu sudah boleh jana keuntungan jika menjual pada harga 'We Buy'.

Begitu juga dengan perak. Harga naik dan mencatat nilai tertinggi sejak 31 tahun lalu. Harga 'We Buy' juga sudah boleh mencatat keuntungan.

Menurut penganalisis, kenaikan ini disebabkan kenaikan inflasi di seluruh dunia dan kegagalan pihak US Federal Reserve merangka strategi yang meyakinkan pelabur untuk menangani kenaikan inflasi berkenaan. Susut nilai US Dollar dan ketegangan di Asia Tengah juga menyumbang kepada kenaikan harga emas dan perak ini.

Jadi, beruntunglah bagi yang masih menyimpan kedua-dua logam ini. Bagi yang nak membeli pun apa salahnya kerana harga mungkin naik lagi, cuma kita tidak tahu sampai tahap mana.

Mari kita lihat harga emas dan perak di Malaysia pada masa ini :













P.M. Kitco Metals Roundup: Comex Gold Scores Record-High Close; Silver at 31-Year High

(Kitco News) - Comex gold futures prices Tuesday closed sharply higher and at a fresh all-time record high close of $1,431.20 an ounce, basis April futures. Meantime, Comex silver futures hit a fresh 31-year high Tuesday. The precious metals are seeing support from bullish technicals and continued safe-haven investment demand from ongoing tensions in the Middle East. A weakening U.S. dollar index is also an underlying bullish factor for the metals. Comex April gold last traded up $21.50 an ounce at $1,431.40. Spot gold last traded up $19.80 at $1,431.50.

The precious metals markets remain in a fully bullish technical and fundamental posture. Fundamentally, the specter of inflationary price pressures worldwide is gaining more attention. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke to the Senate Tuesday on U.S. monetary policy. His remarks did nothing to assuage investor concerns about inflationary price pressures. Traders know the Fed is still leaning toward a very accommodative monetary stance, which does augur for more inflation in the coming months. Commodity prices in general are at multi-year highs, while the central banks of the major industrial economies have implemented quantitative easing the past 12 months. Those are two key components for inflationary price pressures. 

The civil unrest in the Middle East today saw a development when it was reported that Iranians were protesting in the streets. Also, the situation in Libya is still tense. Crude oil futures prices surged by over $2.50 a barrel on that news, which was also a positive factor for the precious metals market bulls. The overall Middle East situation and its uncertainty are still inviting safe-haven investment demand into the precious metals markets. Any major flare-up in the Middle East would now likely push gold sharply higher.

The U.S. dollar index hit another fresh four-month low overnight. The index did rebound from its low Tuesday, but the technical posture of the index remains weak. If the dollar index continues to trade sideways to lower, which is what the technical picture is suggesting at present, then that would continue to be gold-market-bullish.

The London P.M. gold fix was $1,420.75 versus the previous P.M. fixing of $1,411.00.
Technically, April gold futures prices closed nearer the session high, hit a fresh 11-week high and closed at a fresh all-time high close Tuesday. Prices came very close to taking out the all-time record intra-day high of $1,434.10 scored in early December. The gold market bulls have the strong overall technical advantage. A steep four-week-old price uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next near-term upside technical breakout objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at the all-time high of $1,434.10. Bears' next near-term downside price breakout objective is closing prices below major psychological support at $1,400.00. First resistance is seen at $1,434.10 and then at $1,440.00. First support is seen at $1,420.00 and then at Tuesday's low of $1,409.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5.

May silver futures closed up 71.0 cents at $34.53 an ounce Tuesday. Prices closed near the session high and hit a fresh contract and 31-year high today. Tensions in the Middle East are also supporting the silver market. The silver bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage and gained more power Tuesday. Prices are in a steep four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at last week's low of $31.705. Bulls' next upside price breakout objective is producing a close above solid technical resistance at $35.00 an ounce. First resistance is seen at Tuesday's contract high of $34.57 and then at $35.00. Next support is seen at $34.315 and then at $34.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.5.


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